Ravens at Browns
Sunday 13:00 ET · Huntington Bank Field. Our sims, both teams' usage, red-zone looks and the TD board, rebuilt every refresh.
Updated
62%Ravens win chance
CLE +3.2sim spread
39.6sim total
21.0 · –BAL · CLE team totals
Most likely props at the main line
How often each prop hits across 10,000 sims, with the fair price. A high hit rate isn't an edge on its own: compare the fair price to your book's before you bet.
| Player | Prop | Our sims | Fair price | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE | receptions Over 3.5 | 58.0% | -138 | market |
| Rashod Bateman BAL | receptions Over 1.5 | 57.5% | -135 | market |
| Tyler Huntley BAL | completions Over 16.5 | 56.5% | -130 | market |
| Tyler Huntley BAL | rush attempts Over 4.5 | 56.5% | -130 | market |
| Justice Hill BAL | receptions Over 1.5 | 54.5% | -120 | market |
| Mark Andrews BAL | receiving yds Over 24.5 | 54.5% | -120 | market |
| Justice Hill BAL | rush attempts Over 2.5 | 53.7% | -116 | our odds |
| Deshaun Watson CLE | passing yds Over 199.5 | 53.0% | -113 | market |
Anytime TD board
| Player | Scores in our sims | Fair price | Team's first TD (this season) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry BAL | 58.5% | -141 | 4 |
| Denzel Boston CLE | 29.5% | +239 | 3 |
| Zay Flowers BAL | 29.5% | +239 | 0 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE | 27.5% | +264 | 1 |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE | 25.7% | +289 | 0 |
| Mark Andrews BAL | 23.5% | +326 | 0 |
| KC Concepcion Jr. CLE | 21.5% | +365 | 0 |
| Tyler Huntley BAL | 17.5% | +471 | 0 |
| Deshaun Watson CLE | 16.5% | +506 | 0 |
| Rashod Bateman BAL | 13.5% | +641 | 0 |
BAL · 5 games
Ravens usage
Offense and defense ranks
- Points scored / game29.2 #6
- Pass yds / game246.2 #14
- Rush yds / game164.4 #3
- Points allowed / game23.8 #19
- Pass yds allowed / game238.0 #19
- Rush yds allowed / game102.0 #12
Red-zone looks (inside the 20)
- Derrick Henry29 carries · 1 target
- Mark Andrews0 carries · 6 targets
- Zay Flowers0 carries · 5 targets
- Lamar Jackson5 carries · 0 targets
- Ja'Kobi Lane0 carries · 2 targets
Scored the team's first TD
- Derrick Henry4
- Lamar Jackson1
QB
| Player | Games | Pass yds/g | Pass TD/g | Att/g | Comp % | Rush yds/g | RZ att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 4 | 241.8 | 1.50 | 24.0 | 70.8 | 36.0 | 14 |
RB
| Player | Games | Carries/g | Rush yds/g | Targets/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ carry share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 5 | 22.6 | 95.2 | 1.8 | 12.4 | 8 | 83% |
| Justice Hill | 5 | 3.6 | 26.6 | 2.0 | 9.8 | 0 | 0% |
WR
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | 4 | 7.8 | 30% | 6.5 | 101.2 | 2 | 25% |
| Rashod Bateman | 5 | 4.2 | 15% | 3.2 | 46.6 | 1 | 10% |
| Devontez Walker | 4 | 1.8 | 6% | 1.0 | 18.8 | 1 | 5% |
| Chris Moore | 3 | 2.0 | 8% | 1.0 | 21.0 | 1 | 5% |
TE
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews | 5 | 6.0 | 23% | 4.4 | 35.4 | 1 | 30% |
| Matthew Hibner | 3 | 1.7 | 7% | 1.7 | 23.3 | 1 | 5% |
CLE · 5 games
Browns usage
Offense and defense ranks
- Points scored / game18.6 #27
- Pass yds / game202.0 #24
- Rush yds / game94.2 #21
- Points allowed / game22.4 #16
- Pass yds allowed / game239.8 #20
- Rush yds allowed / game117.4 #18
Red-zone looks (inside the 20)
- Quinshon Judkins9 carries · 4 targets
- Deshaun Watson6 carries · 0 targets
- Denzel Boston0 carries · 5 targets
- KC Concepcion0 carries · 3 targets
- Harold Fannin Jr.0 carries · 3 targets
Scored the team's first TD
- Denzel Boston3
- Harold Fannin Jr.1
- Jaleel McLaughlin1
QB
| Player | Games | Pass yds/g | Pass TD/g | Att/g | Comp % | Rush yds/g | RZ att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | 5 | 202.0 | 1.40 | 29.6 | 64.2 | 33.4 | 15 |
RB
| Player | Games | Carries/g | Rush yds/g | Targets/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ carry share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins | 5 | 14.6 | 44.2 | 4.0 | 20.4 | 1 | 60% |
| Raheim Sanders | 5 | 1.8 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 0 | 0% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 3 | 0.7 | 10.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1 | 0% |
WR
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Boston | 5 | 5.8 | 20% | 3.2 | 66.0 | 3 | 31% |
| KC Concepcion | 5 | 5.8 | 20% | 3.6 | 29.8 | 0 | 19% |
| Jerry Jeudy | 4 | 3.8 | 13% | 2.0 | 20.2 | 0 | 0% |
| Isaiah Bond | 3 | 3.0 | 9% | 1.7 | 28.7 | 0 | 0% |
TE
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Fannin Jr. | 5 | 5.4 | 18% | 3.6 | 31.4 | 3 | 19% |
| Blake Whiteheart | 3 | 1.0 | 4% | 0.7 | 10.3 | 1 | 6% |
Ravens vs Browns: quick answers
Who will win Ravens vs Browns?
Our sims have the Ravens winning 62% of 10,000 runs. That's a chance, not a guarantee.
What's the projected total for Ravens at Browns?
The sims put the total at 39.6 points, with Ravens around 21.0 and Browns around –.
Who's most likely to score a TD in Ravens vs Browns?
Derrick Henry scores in 58% of our sims, the highest in this game.
Usage, red-zone and first-TD numbers come from nflverse play-by-play (CC-BY 4.0) for 2026 games already played. Win chances, lines and prop odds come from our 10,000-game sims built on Kalshi's public prices. For entertainment and analysis only. 21+.