Saints at Giants
Sunday 13:00 ET · MetLife Stadium. Our sims, both teams' usage, red-zone looks and the TD board, rebuilt every refresh.
Updated
50%Giants win chance
NYG -0.8sim spread
45.9sim total
22.9 · 23.0NO · NYG team totals
Most likely props at the main line
How often each prop hits across 10,000 sims, with the fair price. A high hit rate isn't an edge on its own: compare the fair price to your book's before you bet.
| Player | Prop | Our sims | Fair price | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Fields NYG | receptions Over 1.5 | 58.5% | -141 | market |
| Devaughn Vele NO | receptions Over 3.5 | 58.0% | -138 | market |
| Jameis Winston NYG | interceptions Over 0.5 | 57.0% | -133 | market |
| Najee Harris NYG | rushing yds Over 24.5 | 56.5% | -130 | market |
| Kendre Miller NO | receptions Over 0.5 | 56.4% | -129 | our odds |
| CJ Donaldson NO | rush attempts Over 2.5 | 56.0% | -127 | our odds |
| Tyler Shough NO | rushing yds Over 9.5 | 55.5% | -125 | market |
| Darnell Mooney NYG | receptions Over 1.5 | 55.5% | -125 | market |
Anytime TD board
| Player | Scores in our sims | Fair price | Team's first TD (this season) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Skattebo NYG | 45.5% | +120 | 1 |
| Chris Olave NO | 38.5% | +160 | 1 |
| Malik Nabers NYG | 35.5% | +182 | 0 |
| Isaiah Likely NYG | 34.5% | +190 | 1 |
| Kendre Miller NO | 33.5% | +199 | 2 |
| Juwan Johnson NO | 26.5% | +277 | 1 |
| Alvin Kamara NO | 25.5% | +292 | 1 |
| Devaughn Vele NO | 24.5% | +308 | 0 |
| Tyler Shough NO | 21.5% | +365 | 0 |
| Najee Harris NYG | 20.5% | +388 | 0 |
NO · 5 games
Saints usage
Offense and defense ranks
- Points scored / game23.6 #16
- Pass yds / game259.8 #9
- Rush yds / game81.8 #29
- Points allowed / game30.2 #31
- Pass yds allowed / game228.2 #11
- Rush yds allowed / game148.8 #30
Red-zone looks (inside the 20)
- Kendre Miller6 carries · 1 target
- Travis Etienne5 carries · 2 targets
- Juwan Johnson0 carries · 7 targets
- Devaughn Vele0 carries · 6 targets
- Alvin Kamara5 carries · 1 target
Scored the team's first TD
- Kendre Miller2
- Chris Olave1
- Juwan Johnson1
- Alvin Kamara1
QB
| Player | Games | Pass yds/g | Pass TD/g | Att/g | Comp % | Rush yds/g | RZ att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough | 5 | 259.8 | 1.80 | 41.0 | 66.8 | 14.4 | 27 |
RB
| Player | Games | Carries/g | Rush yds/g | Targets/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ carry share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 3 | 10.0 | 42.7 | 4.3 | 17.0 | 0 | 22% |
| Kendre Miller | 4 | 7.2 | 20.8 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 2 | 26% |
| Alvin Kamara | 4 | 7.0 | 21.5 | 4.0 | 10.2 | 2 | 22% |
WR
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 5 | 10.8 | 28% | 7.8 | 107.4 | 1 | 19% |
| Devaughn Vele | 5 | 7.4 | 20% | 5.0 | 50.4 | 2 | 22% |
| Bryce Lance | 5 | 3.2 | 8% | 1.0 | 11.4 | 0 | 7% |
| Kevin Austin Jr. | 1 | 1.0 | 3% | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0 | 0% |
TE
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Johnson | 5 | 6.4 | 17% | 5.0 | 49.6 | 3 | 26% |
| Noah Fant | 4 | 3.2 | 7% | 2.2 | 18.2 | 3 | 11% |
NYG · 5 games
Giants usage
Offense and defense ranks
- Points scored / game21.8 #22
- Pass yds / game211.0 #21
- Rush yds / game109.0 #16
- Points allowed / game21.2 #10
- Pass yds allowed / game209.6 #7
- Rush yds allowed / game127.6 #25
Red-zone looks (inside the 20)
- Cam Skattebo11 carries · 0 targets
- Isaiah Likely0 carries · 8 targets
- Najee Harris8 carries · 0 targets
- Malik Nabers0 carries · 6 targets
- Devin Singletary1 carry · 2 targets
Scored the team's first TD
- Cam Skattebo1
- Malachi Fields1
- Isaiah Likely1
QB
| Player | Games | Pass yds/g | Pass TD/g | Att/g | Comp % | Rush yds/g | RZ att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameis Winston | 4 | 201.2 | 1.50 | 33.0 | 57.6 | 10.5 | 13 |
RB
| Player | Games | Carries/g | Rush yds/g | Targets/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ carry share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Skattebo | 5 | 16.2 | 58.8 | 2.4 | 15.8 | 1 | 48% |
| Najee Harris | 4 | 6.8 | 24.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0 | 35% |
| Devin Singletary | 2 | 4.5 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 1 | 4% |
WR
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Nabers | 5 | 9.2 | 27% | 5.8 | 65.8 | 2 | 32% |
| Darnell Mooney | 5 | 3.4 | 10% | 1.6 | 21.8 | 0 | 0% |
| Malachi Fields | 5 | 3.4 | 11% | 2.0 | 29.2 | 1 | 5% |
| Braxton Berrios | 4 | 0.2 | 1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0% |
TE
| Player | Games | Targets/g | Target share | Rec/g | Rec yds/g | TDs | RZ target share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Likely | 5 | 9.6 | 30% | 6.6 | 56.8 | 4 | 42% |
| Theo Johnson | 4 | 2.2 | 6% | 1.0 | 13.8 | 1 | 5% |
Saints vs Giants: quick answers
Who will win Saints vs Giants?
Our sims have the Giants winning 50% of 10,000 runs. That's a chance, not a guarantee.
What's the projected total for Saints at Giants?
The sims put the total at 45.9 points, with Saints around 22.9 and Giants around 23.0.
Who's most likely to score a TD in Saints vs Giants?
Cam Skattebo scores in 46% of our sims, the highest in this game.
Usage, red-zone and first-TD numbers come from nflverse play-by-play (CC-BY 4.0) for 2026 games already played. Win chances, lines and prop odds come from our 10,000-game sims built on Kalshi's public prices. For entertainment and analysis only. 21+.